The're Looting the Country

The Fraud of Bushenomics: They’re Looting the Country
By Larry Beinhart, AlterNet
Posted on January 19, 2008, Printed on January 19, 2008
http://www.alternet.org/story/74262/

The New York Times made it official. The Economy is a problem!

So, now, at last we can discuss it.

Not just discuss it, in rapid order "recession" became the word of the
day, from White House, Congress, the Fed and the media.

It's blamed, mostly, on the subprime crisis.

But that's not the problem. It's a symptom. It is the logical, and
probably one of the necessary results, of Bushenomics.

Along with low, or no, job growth. Little or no business growth.
Depressed wages. And the crashing dollar. (The president has a different
vision of the economy. In his vision it's booming! And the number of jobs
is growing! Though there is this little blip.)

The idea under which Bushenomics was sold is this:

The rich are the investor class.
If the rich have more money, they will invest more.
Their investments will create more business.
Those businesses will create more wealth, thus improving everyone's
lives and making the nation stronger. They will also create new and better
jobs.
Whether or not the people who say such things truly believe them, I
cannot say. But that's their pitch, and the media certainly seems to buy
it, as do most of the establishment economists.

A more realistic -- and less idealistic -- view of Bushenomics is that
the Bush administration and its cronies came at the economy with the
attitude of oilmen.

They inherited a vastly wealth country.
They looked at it like the oil under the Alaskan wilderness. They
craved to pump it out, turn it into cash and grab as much of that cash as
possible.
Wherever possible, they literally sold off the assets. This was called
privatization. Our biggest asset -- in terms of size -- is, of course,
our defense establishment. With privatization, one dollar out of every
three for direct military operations in Iraq and Afghanistan goes to
private contractors like Halliburton and Blackwater. So when someone
says, "Support the troops!" with budget appropriations, they should really
yell, "Two-thirds support to the troops! One third support to
Halliburton, et al.!"

This is just an estimate. The degree of privatization is unknown.
Presumably, that's deliberate. Nor does it count the amount of money the
military spends with private purveyors to supply the troops and their
operations. It is only the amount that goes directly to private
contractors.

But for the most part, the assets of the United States, our collective
wealth, could not be sold off in such a direct manner.

In order to turn them into cash, what the administration did was borrow
against them.

That is, they cut taxes while continuing to spend lavishly, creating
debt.

The debt is owed by all of us, the collective people of the United
States.

The tax cuts hugely favored rich people. They also favored unearned
income (dividends, capital gains, inherited money) as opposed to the kind
of money people have to work for. The very richest got richer.

The spending was -- to the degree possible -- directed to themselves,
their friends and their supporters: Big Pharma, the medical industry,
insurance, banking and financial, among others. And, of course, Big Oil,
from whom they have spent close to a trillion dollars of our money to
conquer a big oil field for private exploitation.

Now let's take a look at some numbers.

The numbers will tell us if their idealistic tale about unleashing the
capitalists to create a better world for us all is correct. Or if it's
a fairy story that masks uncaring greed.

The big number is that the economy has grown.

As measured by the GDP it has. From 2001 to 2007 it went by 35 percent.

GDP stands for Gross Domestic Product. It could more accurately be
called Gross Domestic Transactions, because it is the sum of all the
financial transactions in the country.

Now let us look at job creation.

In the first six years of the Clinton administration, 13.7 million jobs
were created. In the same period, under Bush, only 3.7 million jobs
were created. Barely keeping up with population growth, if that. (Source:
Fox News)

Now let us look at median income. That's as opposed to average income
(If Bill Gates walks into a bar with 10 people, the average income of
everyone in the room goes up by $17,5000,000. But the median income just
moves up half a notch, from between the fifth and sixth person, to the
sixth person's income). From 2001 to 2005, median income, for people
under 65, went down $2,000.

That's worth restating. From 2001 to 2005, the income of the average
working person declined by $2,000.

Now, let's look at the value of America's businesses.

A good rough measure of the market value of America's best businesses
is the stock market. Under Clinton, the Dow Jones went up 324 percent.
Wall-to-wall, after the dot.com bubble burst, it more than tripled in
value.

Bush arrived in 2001. Since then the Dow Jones is up just 10 percent.
Adjusted for inflation, that's absolutely flat. (It was briefly up 23
percent. It is now below the 10 percent mark, and tumbling down as this
is written). Just pain, no gain.

If jobs have not increased, salaries have gone down, and the value of
business has not risen, where is that 35 percent growth in the economy?

There is a number called the M3 money supply.

The M1 is basically cash, plus checking and "current" accounts. The M2
adds savings accounts, money market accounts and CDs up to $100,000.
The M3 adds in the big CDs, Eurodollar accounts and other large exotics.

Already rising very fast, the M3 took off like a rocket after 2001. The
Fed stopped publishing the M3 in 2006 (conspiracy theorists, please
note.) But a quick look at the chart of its growth, and assuming its
trajectory continued, clearly shows that the M3 grew by something in the
range of 35 percent.

The entire growth of the economy under Bushenomics is accounted for by
growth in the money supply.

The administration did not directly inflate the economy by 35 percent.

They pumped it by the size of the deficit. The rest happened this way.

When a government is "printing money" (running big deficits), the big
fear is inflation.

Particularly in the financial community. Bankers make their money on
interest, and inflation eats their profits, point for point.

The administration, very proudly, grew the economy (or at least the
amount of money in circulation), without inflation. Which actually is a
pretty good trick.

In part, they were able to do so precisely because the policy was a
failure.

If it had created business growth -- actual business, not just
financial business -- that would have created jobs. Then there would have been
inflationary pressure. Especially if they were good, high paying jobs.
If salaries for ordinary people go up, even a little, the total is a
big sum because there are so many of us.

But due to free trade, outsourcing, bad economic policy, policies aimed
at keeping wages down, and relentless union busting, good jobs were
lost, to be replaced with low-wage jobs, when they were replaced at all.
The proof is in that median income figure (down $2,000 per worker).

Due to free trade and outsourcing, consumer goods mostly went down too.
The exception being in favored industries like pharmaceuticals,
insurance and oil.

Finally, and this the key to the next step in the process, the Fed kept
interest rates down.

Low interest rates mean that it's cheap to borrow.

The administration largely believes in supply-side economics (otherwise
known as "trickle down," or "piss on the people."); if you increase
the supply of something, consumers will appear to buy it.

The actual results are a perverse triumph of the idea.

The supply of money was increased. The price of money was kept
artificially low.

Think of borrowing as buying money. It is.

People (and businesses and corporations) did rush forward to buy it.
Once they had it, what was there to do with it? There was no new trend,
no dot.coms, no high techs, no bio techs, no nothing.

So they went out and sold money. That is, they made loans.

There are two big retail loan areas, credit cards and housing loans.
Both were pushed very aggressively. With cheap, cheap money available to
finance home buying, that market heated up. At the same time,
commercial interests started aggressively buying up loans, packaging them
together, and reselling them as financial instruments. That created more
desire to make more loans (sell money). Financial institutions bought more
money (borrowed), in order to sell it at a profit (make loans). Since
the loans were quickly resold -- and profit taken off the top -- the
quality of the loans didn't matter to the people who made them. The
housing market -- or rather the loans that fueled it -- grew into a bubble.

The subprime crisis, the housing bubble, whatever you want to call it,
is not the problem.

It's a symptom of pumping in money with no place to go.

Other symptoms are no job growth, no business growth, no stock market
growth, falling median incomes, disappearing pensions and health plans,
and the fall of the dollar.

When Bush came into office, a Euro cost 95 cents. Now it costs a $1.50.
The Canadian dollar (the Loony) was 70 cents. Now it costs a dollar.
Most mainstream economists and pundits will opine that a low dollar is
good for American industry, because it will help us sell our goods.
That's only true if we're producing things that no one else is -- or
producing them better or cheaper -- and we're not.

Also, many foreign exchange rates are being kept artificially low
against the dollar. Some, like many of the oil countries, are pegged to the
dollar. They're making up for it by raising the price of oil (currently
traded in dollars). Others, like the Asian manufacturing countries,
are keeping their currency down to retain their edge in selling here,
thereby canceling whatever advantage we're supposed to get from declining
currency.

One way to think of what the administration has done, is as a leveraged
buyout. That's when someone buys a company, using the company itself
as the collateral for the loan used to purchase it, usually at very high
interest, then pays off the interest by cutting the work force and
salaries, selling outsets and even breaking up the company.

It's good for the guy who makes the deal, skims the cream off the top
and gets rich. (The company that Mitt Romney got rich working for
specialized in doing that.) It's good for the lenders, who get a good return
(if the buyer is able to squeeze enough money out of his purchase), but
it's bad for the work force, bad for the company, and, if no one comes
along to replace it, bad for the business as a whole.

We've experienced a leveraged buyout of the national economy.

Our politicians, the media and economists are just now waking up to the
fact that the economy is in trouble.

The current numbers make it clear that we are probably in, or probably
headed for, a recession.

Also, the polls show that people are concerned about the economy, and
it's an election year. The people are out ahead of our governing and
media and professional economic classes on this, because they live in the
real economy, the one that's been leveraged, and the professionals are
either in, or work for, the investor class that has been doing well.

So there is, at last, talk about doing something about the economy.

The Feds will cut interest rates!

George Bush wants a stimulus package. Tax cuts, tax cuts and make my
tax cuts permanent! After all, that policy has worked so well. He said
the cuts must be at least 1 percent of the GDP. That will be $145
billion.

Harry Reid and Nancy Policy (the King and Queen of Effective Politics)
will offer a competing one (tax cuts, tax cuts!). Although they
promised pay-as-you-go economic policies from a Democratic legislature.

Pundits in the media talk about a crisis in consumer confidence. And
how the fix is to restore it. So we will go out and buy. Presumably on
credit.

How about consumers think there's a problem because there is one. Not
because they're weird emotionally. They reasonably see themselves so
overextended, with so little hope of being better earners, that they won't
be able to pay things off. Not even with a one-time government check
of somewhere between $300 and $1,200.

In short, most of those solutions will go to making things worse.

The real solutions are pretty obvious and pretty simple.

First, we have to make a choice: Do we want a sound economy for all of
us and a strong America? Or do we want to have a few people of
unlimited wealth who use that wealth, among other things, to control the
government so that it helps them milk more money from the rest of us?

By the way, this is not a call for socialism! Or other ism! Except a
call for sensible and effective capitalism. Based on what we've seen work
and seen fail.

In the real world, there are no such things as free markets.

In the real world, business people manipulate and conspire to control
markets, and governments both control and collude with business, while
tax policies and government spending have a major affect on the economy.

Let us accept that, and then the argument is only over how best to do
it.

Simply giving money to rich people doesn't work.

Bob Novak, the conservative commentator who calls the investor class
"the most creative class," is flat out wrong. As we've seen, outside of
their ability to buy influence in politics, the media and the law, the
rich are like the rest of us, relatively passive and unimaginative,
prone to putting their money in the easiest place that promises a return,
in whatever bubble is in fashion at the moment and wherever some
salesman who gets their attention tells them.

Money has no mind of its own. It has to be directed toward areas that
will generate and support business and good jobs at good wages. As it
happens, our economic goals are on the same road as the social good.

The No. 1 target has to be alternative energy.

Energy that can be produced here, in the United States, renewable,
nonpolluting, and not, like corn-based ethanol, requiring as much petroleum
to produce it as it replaces. One-third of our balance of trade
deficit is oil, year in and year out. If the United States can become the
world leader in alternative energy and conservation technology, we will,
at last, have something to export.

The No. 2 target is infrastructure.

By it's nature, infrastructure has to be largely produced here with
local labor and it stays here.

Hard infrastructure, like roads and bridges, cleaning up New Orleans
and the Gulf Coast, protecting our coasts from future storms, internet
and phone service as good as Europe's, Japan's and Singapore's.

Soft infrastructure, like education, youth services, parks and
recreation programs, public safety, and a saner criminal justice system. The
United States has 5 percent of the world's population and 25 percent of
the incarcerated population. That's expensive. And wasteful. Unsafe
streets and high crime are expensive and wasteful.

Infrastructure makes doing business easier, quicker and cheaper. It
becomes an invisible subsidy for all businesses. Try to imagine, for
example, Fed Ex, that entrepreneurial triumph, without a national web of
airports, flight controllers and roads.

The No. 3 target is health care.

Health care in the United States costs at least 50 percent more than
the next-highest spending country and double what it does in most other
modernized countries. All of them have better health than we do. They
live longer and in better condition.

The difference is that they have national health plans. Mostly
single-payer, usually tax-supported. Our plans are based on a hodge-podge of a
thousand private insurers.

A single-payer national health plan should cut the costs of our health
care by at least 25 percent, possibly 50 percent. That's an astonishing
number. That money could go to more productive things. Or to even more
health care.

American businesses who supply health care to their employees claim
they are noncompetitive with companies from countries that have national
health. This will make them more competitive. This will make American
labor more competitive.

The No. 4 four target is a balanced budget.

There are, in fact, times for deficit spending. Just as there are times
in our personal lives to borrow and times for business to borrow.

This is probably not one of them.

There is an ocean of money sloshing all around the world, looking for a
home. If there are real business opportunities in America (like taking
the lead in alternative energy, bio tech, and whatever is next around
the corner), it will come.

Especially if there is a sound business environment and dollar
investments return to being the most reliable in the world. That means paying
down our debt.

How can all this be done?

Raising taxes.

On the wealthy. And on corporations. That's not class warfare. That's
simple practicality.

After your first $20,000, how much of the next 20 do you need, to live,
thrive and survive? Damn near all of it. After your first 20 million,
now much of the next 20 million do you need? Not a nickel.

The rich will whine, writhe and scream that they won't do business,
they'll be driven out of business, that business will collapse. Bullshit.
If they dislike keeping 20 or 30 or 40 cents of each dollar of profit
so much that they won't take the dollar, someone will come along who
gladly will. That's how markets work.

All of this is pretty straightforward and common sense.

The illogic of Bushenomics is obvious. The results were foreseeable.
After all, similar effects took place under Reagan and Bush the Elder,
until they reversed courses.

The alternatives are equally obvious. The facts bear out the theory. Go
back to Hoover and Roosevelt, then look at the down, up, down, of Bush
the Elder, Bill Clinton, and Bush the Lesser. (We do note that there
are minor industries dedicated to proving that Franklin Roosevelt was,
in the words of CNN's Glenn Beck, "an evil son of a bitch," that the New
Deal really, really, really didn't work, and that Bush the Elder was
really, really, really responsible for the boom of the Clinton years and
that Clinton was responsible for the first recession during the reign
of Bush the Lesser. But they are like people who see the image of the
Virgin Mary in bread sticks and crullers.)

None of our politicians, pundits or economists are addressing the
fundamentals.

The last time we switched from the nonsense of worshiping unmitigated
greed, disguised as free marketeering, it took a market crash and the
Great Depression to move us out of our public relations-manufactured
delusions and make us understand that when we all do well the rich get
richer too, so let's start with the common good.

Based on the dialogue as it stands now, we will go with tinkering and
twaddle, doing more of what doesn't work. And only if the whole things
collapses will we address the real problems.

Larry Beinhart is the author of "Wag the Dog," "The Librarian," and
"Fog Facts: Searching for Truth in the Land of Spin." All available at
nationbooks.org.

© 2008 Independent Media Institute. All rights reserved.
View this story online at: http://www.alternet.org/story/74262/